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The goal of this work package is an improved understanding of the urban dynamics in the metropolitan area of Hamburg and to assess the coping capacities of the urban system.
Firstly, an extensive GIS database will be created, which combines past and current data about land use, demographic and socio-economic data. This ought to help us gain a better knowledge of the processes within the city. Most importantly, how the city has developed. Dividing the city into climate relevant structures and understand how the building density and demography has developed in them.
Using the data collection, we intend to evaluate the coping capacities and vulnerability. Trying to identify hot spots of climate change impact (e.g. old people who are most vulnerable to extreme heat situations).
Further on, we aim to create a dynamic land use model. Predicting future trends for Hamburg for the years 2050 and 2100. Agent-based modelling is the favourable method, we plan to utilise. The dynamic land use model is then used as an input for the regional climate model used in WP II. Creating a dynamic land use input for regional weather models.
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